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Determination of seasonal rainfall variability, onset and cessation in semi-arid Tharaka district, Kenya

机译:肯尼亚半干旱Tharaka地区季节性降雨变化,起止的确定

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摘要

The study quantified rainfall variability for March–May (MAM) and October–December (OND) seasons in Tharaka district, Kenya. The parameters analysed were inter-annual variability of seasonal rainfall, onset and cessation using daily rainfall data in three agro-ecological zones’ stations. Percentage mean cumulative method was used to determine onset and cessation, and seasonal variability was estimated using rainfall variability indices. Although both seasons are highly variable, OND has been persistently below mean over time while MAM shows high within-season variability. Despite the near uniformity in the mean onset and cessation dates, the former is highly variable on an inter-annual scale. The two rainfall seasons are inherently dissimilar and therefore require specific cropping in agro-ecological zone LM4 and LM4-5. It is possible that farmers in IL5 are missing an opportunity by under-utilising MAM rainfall. The results should be incorporated in implications of climate variability and vulnerability assessment in semi-arid Tharaka district.
机译:该研究量化了肯尼亚塔拉卡地区3月至5月(MAM)和10月至12月(OND)季节的降雨变异性。使用三个农业生态区站的每日降雨数据,分析的参数是季节性降雨的年际变化,发作和停止。用百分比平均累积法确定发病和停止,并使用降雨变异性指数估算季节变异性。尽管两个季节的变化很大,但OND随时间推移一直低于平均水平,而MAM则显示出较高的季节内变化。尽管平均起病和戒烟日期几乎一致,但前者在年际尺度上变化很大。这两个降雨季节本质上是不同的,因此需要在农业生态区LM4和LM4-5中进行特定种植。 IL5的农民可能由于MAM降雨利用不足而错过了机会。结果应纳入半干旱Tharaka地区的气候变异性和脆弱性评估的含义。

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